Final Score: Saints 24 - Buccaneers 20
Sunday, December 7, 2025 at 1:00 PM ET
Saints @ Buccaneers
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Saints | Buccaneers |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 40 | 28 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average points | 22.4 | 19.5 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 23 |
| Stat | Saints | Buccaneers |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 12 | 12 |
| Avg points scored | 15.2 | 23.2 |
| Avg points conceded | 24.6 | 25.1 |
| Win percentage | 17% | 58% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 17% | 60% |
Recent Results
Saints
@ Miami Dolphins
Nov 30, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 38
17-21
vs Atlanta Falcons
Nov 23, 2025 · Margin: -14 · Total: 34
10-24
@ Carolina Panthers
Nov 9, 2025 · Margin: +10 · Total: 24
17-7
@ Los Angeles Rams
Nov 2, 2025 · Margin: -24 · Total: 44
10-34
vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Oct 26, 2025 · Margin: -20 · Total: 26
3-23
@ Chicago Bears
Oct 19, 2025 · Margin: -12 · Total: 40
14-26
vs New England Patriots
Oct 12, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 44
19-25
vs New York Giants
Oct 5, 2025 · Margin: +12 · Total: 40
26-14
@ Buffalo Bills
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: -12 · Total: 50
19-31
@ Seattle Seahawks
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: -31 · Total: 57
13-44
Buccaneers
vs Arizona Cardinals
Nov 30, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 37
20-17
@ Los Angeles Rams
Nov 23, 2025 · Margin: -27 · Total: 41
7-34
@ Buffalo Bills
Nov 16, 2025 · Margin: -12 · Total: 76
32-44
vs New England Patriots
Nov 9, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 51
23-28
@ New Orleans Saints
Oct 26, 2025 · Margin: +20 · Total: 26
23-3
@ Detroit Lions
Oct 20, 2025 · Margin: -15 · Total: 33
9-24
vs San Francisco 49ers
Oct 12, 2025 · Margin: +11 · Total: 49
30-19
@ Seattle Seahawks
Oct 5, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 73
38-35
vs Philadelphia Eagles
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 56
25-31
vs New York Jets
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 56
29-27