Dolphins @ Vikings

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Dolphins 10 - Vikings 15
Sunday, October 4, 2026 at 4:05 PM ET
Miami
Dolphins
0-3 Rating 1380
Form: WLLLL
10 – 15
Model Probability
18%
82%
Projected margin: Minnesota Vikings +10.9
Minnesota
Vikings
3-0 Rating 1626
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Dolphins Vikings
All-time wins 8 6
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average points 20.5 20.3
Last meeting 16 24

Key Season Stats

Stat Dolphins Vikings
Games played 3 3
Avg points scored 12.0 23.7
Avg points conceded 28.7 13.7
Win percentage 0% 100%
Away win % / Home win % 0% 100%