Packers @ Patriots

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Packers 45 - Patriots 27
Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 4:25 PM ET
Green Bay
Packers
5-3 Rating 1554
Form: WWWLW
45 – 27
Model Probability
36%
64%
Projected margin: New England Patriots +4.8
New England
Patriots
5-3 Rating 1610
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Packers Patriots
All-time wins 7 6
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average points 24.6 21.2
Last meeting 27 24

Key Season Stats

Stat Packers Patriots
Games played 8 8
Avg points scored 21.4 23.0
Avg points conceded 20.5 20.2
Win percentage 62% 62%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 100%