Packers @ Buccaneers

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Packers 17 - Buccaneers 14
Sunday, October 4, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET
Green Bay
Packers
1-2 Rating 1492
Form: LLLWL
17 – 14
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Buccaneers +2.0
Tampa Bay
Buccaneers
0-3 Rating 1431
Form: LWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Packers Buccaneers
All-time wins 34 24
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average points 19.5 16.9
Last meeting 20 34

Key Season Stats

Stat Packers Buccaneers
Games played 3 3
Avg points scored 18.7 20.7
Avg points conceded 30.3 26.3
Win percentage 33% 0%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 0%