Buccaneers @ Cowboys

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Buccaneers 24 - Cowboys 16
Thursday, October 8, 2026 at 8:15 PM ET
Tampa Bay
Buccaneers
0-4 Rating 1417
Form: WLLLL
24 – 16
Model Probability
37%
63%
Projected margin: Dallas Cowboys +3.6
Dallas
Cowboys
2-2 Rating 1463
Form: LLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Buccaneers Cowboys
All-time wins 6 17
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average points 15.3 21.0
Last meeting 24 26

Key Season Stats

Stat Buccaneers Cowboys
Games played 4 4
Avg points scored 19.0 30.5
Avg points conceded 24.0 28.0
Win percentage 0% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 0% 50%