Cowboys @ Texans

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Cowboys 34 - Texans 30
Sunday, October 4, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET
Dallas
Cowboys
1-2 Rating 1441
Form: WLLWL
34 – 30
Model Probability
30%
70%
Projected margin: Houston Texans +7.1
Houston
Texans
0-3 Rating 1554
Form: WLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cowboys Texans
All-time wins 4 3
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average points 20.6 18.7
Last meeting 10 34

Key Season Stats

Stat Cowboys Texans
Games played 3 3
Avg points scored 29.3 18.0
Avg points conceded 27.3 25.0
Win percentage 33% 0%
Away win % / Home win % 0% 0%