Raiders @ Patriots

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Raiders 17 - Patriots 45
Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET
Las Vegas
Raiders
3-1 Rating 1391
Form: WWWWL
17 – 45
Model Probability
21%
79%
Projected margin: New England Patriots +9.9
New England
Patriots
2-2 Rating 1597
Form: LLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Raiders Patriots
All-time wins 10 12
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average points 21.1 25.0
Last meeting 20 13

Key Season Stats

Stat Raiders Patriots
Games played 4 4
Avg points scored 28.8 16.2
Avg points conceded 21.0 19.2
Win percentage 75% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 100% 100%