Bills @ Raiders

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Bills 33 - Raiders 30
Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 4:25 PM ET
Buffalo
Bills
4-1 Rating 1691
Form: WWWLW
33 – 30
Model Probability
77%
23%
Projected margin: Buffalo Bills +7.3
Las Vegas
Raiders
3-2 Rating 1376
Form: WWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Bills Raiders
All-time wins 13 12
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average points 26.4 24.1
Last meeting 38 10

Key Season Stats

Stat Bills Raiders
Games played 5 5
Avg points scored 32.8 26.4
Avg points conceded 28.2 25.8
Win percentage 80% 60%
Away win % / Home win % 100% 50%