Bills @ Rams

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Bills 37 - Rams 34
Monday, October 12, 2026 at 8:15 PM ET
Buffalo
Bills
3-1 Rating 1677
Form: LWWWL
37 – 34
Model Probability
49%
51%
Projected margin: Los Angeles Rams +2.0
Los Angeles
Rams
2-2 Rating 1620
Form: LLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Bills Rams
All-time wins 9 6
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average points 26.7 21.7
Last meeting 42 44

Key Season Stats

Stat Bills Rams
Games played 4 4
Avg points scored 31.8 21.2
Avg points conceded 26.8 20.8
Win percentage 75% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 100% 50%