Final Score: Nationals 5 - Phillies 10
Thursday, July 1, 2004 at 6:05 PM ET

Nationals @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
26-50 Rating 1462
Form: LWLLW
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.8
Phillies
40-36 Rating 1515
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Phillies
All-time wins 291 302
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.2 4.2
Last meeting 6 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Phillies
Games played 76 76
Avg runs scored 3.5 5.3
Avg runs conceded 4.6 4.8
Win percentage 34% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 32% 54%