Final Score: Astros 1 - Padres 2
Monday, July 5, 2004 at 10:05 PM ET

Astros @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
42-39 Rating 1513
Form: WLWWL
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.1
Padres
44-37 Rating 1480
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Padres
All-time wins 280 253
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.0 3.9
Last meeting 1 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Padres
Games played 81 81
Avg runs scored 4.7 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.1
Win percentage 52% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 51% 57%