Final Score: Phillies 3 - Marlins 6
Wednesday, July 28, 2004 at 7:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
52-48 Rating 1512
Form: LWWLL
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.3
Marlins
50-50 Rating 1519
Form: LLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Marlins
All-time wins 86 80
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 5.0 4.7
Last meeting 2 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Marlins
Games played 100 100
Avg runs scored 5.0 4.3
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.4
Win percentage 52% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 49% 54%