Final Score: Cubs 5 - Reds 4
Thursday, September 16, 2004 at 7:10 PM ET

Cubs @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
79-64 Rating 1523
Form: WLWWW
Model Probability
55%
45%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.4
Reds
67-78 Rating 1453
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Reds
All-time wins 207 229
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.5 4.6
Last meeting 13 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Reds
Games played 143 145
Avg runs scored 4.9 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.1 5.7
Win percentage 55% 46%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 51%