Final Score: Nationals 3 - Marlins 4
Thursday, September 16, 2004 at 7:05 PM ET

Nationals @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
61-85 Rating 1477
Form: LLLWW
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.8
Marlins
76-67 Rating 1530
Form: WWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Marlins
All-time wins 82 87
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.3 4.2
Last meeting 10 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Marlins
Games played 146 143
Avg runs scored 3.9 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.3
Win percentage 42% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 37% 55%