Final Score: Padres 1 - Astros 4
Monday, July 4, 2005 at 2:05 PM ET

Padres @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
45-37 Rating 1512
Form: WLLWW
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.4
Astros
38-42-1 Rating 1522
Form: TWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Astros
All-time wins 257 282
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 3.9 4.0
Last meeting 3 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Astros
Games played 82 81
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.2
Win percentage 55% 47%
Away win % / Home win % 46% 65%