Final Score: Phillies 11 - Reds 10
Friday, September 23, 2005 at 7:10 PM ET

Phillies @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
82-71 Rating 1529
Form: WLLWW
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.4
Reds
71-81-1 Rating 1473
Form: LLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Reds
All-time wins 164 231
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.3 4.7
Last meeting 4 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Reds
Games played 153 153
Avg runs scored 4.9 5.0
Avg runs conceded 4.5 5.3
Win percentage 54% 46%
Away win % / Home win % 49% 52%