Final Score: Nationals 5 - Cubs 3
Thursday, May 18, 2006 at 2:20 PM ET

Nationals @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
13-27 Rating 1467
Form: LLWLL
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.5
Cubs
17-22 Rating 1492
Form: LLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Cubs
All-time wins 276 251
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.3 4.0
Last meeting 0 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Cubs
Games played 40 39
Avg runs scored 4.2 3.8
Avg runs conceded 5.0 4.8
Win percentage 32% 44%
Away win % / Home win % 37% 53%