Final Score: Yankees 5 - Mets 4
Saturday, May 20, 2006 at 1:20 PM ET

Yankees @ Mets

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Yankees
23-17 Rating 1570
Form: LWWLL
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.4
Mets
25-16 Rating 1513
Form: LWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Yankees Mets
All-time wins 33 21
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.7 4.4
Last meeting 6 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Yankees Mets
Games played 40 41
Avg runs scored 5.8 5.0
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.2
Win percentage 57% 61%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 68%