Final Score: Padres 5 - Phillies 6
Tuesday, July 4, 2006 at 3:05 PM ET

Padres @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
43-39 Rating 1499
Form: LWWLL
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.3
Phillies
37-44 Rating 1508
Form: LWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Phillies
All-time wins 182 215
Last 5 meetings 0 5
Average runs 4.2 4.4
Last meeting 3 8

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Phillies
Games played 82 81
Avg runs scored 4.4 4.8
Avg runs conceded 4.2 5.3
Win percentage 52% 46%
Away win % / Home win % 57% 44%