Final Score: Nationals 7 - Marlins 6
Tuesday, July 18, 2006 at 7:05 PM ET

Nationals @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
39-55 Rating 1468
Form: LLLWL
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.5
Marlins
41-50 Rating 1498
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Marlins
All-time wins 96 105
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.2 4.4
Last meeting 2 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Marlins
Games played 94 91
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.7
Avg runs conceded 5.2 4.9
Win percentage 41% 45%
Away win % / Home win % 38% 49%