Final Score: Yankees 5 - Blue Jays 4
Saturday, July 22, 2006 at 4:07 PM ET

Yankees @ Blue Jays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Yankees
55-39 Rating 1572
Form: WWLLL
Model Probability
54%
46%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.4
Blue Jays
54-42 Rating 1511
Form: WLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Yankees Blue Jays
All-time wins 221 178
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.9 4.5
Last meeting 3 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Yankees Blue Jays
Games played 94 96
Avg runs scored 5.6 5.4
Avg runs conceded 4.7 4.8
Win percentage 59% 56%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 63%