Final Score: Marlins 6 - Phillies 8
Saturday, September 23, 2006 at 1:20 PM ET

Marlins @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
76-78 Rating 1510
Form: LLWWL
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.4
Phillies
80-73 Rating 1531
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Phillies
All-time wins 97 111
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.7 5.2
Last meeting 2 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Phillies
Games played 154 153
Avg runs scored 4.7 5.3
Avg runs conceded 4.7 5.0
Win percentage 49% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 46% 50%