Final Score: Astros 5 - Braves 4
Saturday, September 30, 2006 at 7:05 PM ET

Astros @ Braves

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
81-79 Rating 1520
Form: WWWWL
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: Atlanta Braves +0.2
Braves
78-82 Rating 1515
Form: LWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Braves
All-time wins 268 287
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.1 4.1
Last meeting 1 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Braves
Games played 160 160
Avg runs scored 4.6 5.3
Avg runs conceded 4.5 5.0
Win percentage 51% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 49%