Final Score: Padres 7 - Marlins 6
Saturday, May 5, 2007 at 7:05 PM ET

Padres @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
15-14 Rating 1508
Form: LLWWL
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.2
Marlins
14-14 Rating 1502
Form: LWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Marlins
All-time wins 56 55
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.5 4.5
Last meeting 4 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Marlins
Games played 29 28
Avg runs scored 4.4 5.6
Avg runs conceded 3.9 5.5
Win percentage 52% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 53%