Final Score: Reds 4 - Astros 3
Wednesday, May 30, 2007 at 8:05 PM ET

Reds @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
20-33 Rating 1453
Form: LLLWW
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.7
Astros
21-30 Rating 1493
Form: LLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Astros
All-time wins 318 313
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.3 4.3
Last meeting 2 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Astros
Games played 53 51
Avg runs scored 4.6 3.9
Avg runs conceded 5.2 4.7
Win percentage 38% 41%
Away win % / Home win % 40% 46%