Final Score: Tigers 7 - Phillies 4
Sunday, June 17, 2007 at 1:35 PM ET

Tigers @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Tigers
38-29 Rating 1522
Form: WLLWL
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.3
Phillies
36-32 Rating 1528
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Tigers Phillies
All-time wins 5 6
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.4 4.7
Last meeting 3 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Tigers Phillies
Games played 67 68
Avg runs scored 6.0 5.1
Avg runs conceded 4.9 5.1
Win percentage 57% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 57% 54%