Final Score: Marlins 6 - Padres 4
Tuesday, July 3, 2007 at 10:05 PM ET

Marlins @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
38-45 Rating 1487
Form: WLLWL
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.6
Padres
47-34 Rating 1525
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Padres
All-time wins 55 59
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.5 4.5
Last meeting 1 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Padres
Games played 83 81
Avg runs scored 4.8 4.3
Avg runs conceded 5.2 3.4
Win percentage 46% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 51% 59%