Final Score: Phillies 12 - Padres 4
Saturday, July 21, 2007 at 10:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
48-48 Rating 1519
Form: LWLLW
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.2
Padres
53-42 Rating 1519
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Padres
All-time wins 218 187
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.4 4.2
Last meeting 7 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Padres
Games played 96 95
Avg runs scored 5.3 4.2
Avg runs conceded 5.2 3.5
Win percentage 50% 56%
Away win % / Home win % 48% 56%