Final Score: Astros 5 - Marlins 6
Saturday, August 4, 2007 at 7:05 PM ET

Astros @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
48-61 Rating 1488
Form: LLLWW
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.1
Marlins
50-60 Rating 1480
Form: WLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Marlins
All-time wins 68 52
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.7 4.1
Last meeting 8 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Marlins
Games played 109 110
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.8
Avg runs conceded 5.2 5.2
Win percentage 44% 45%
Away win % / Home win % 36% 43%