Final Score: Astros 3 - Padres 1
Friday, August 17, 2007 at 10:05 PM ET

Astros @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
54-67 Rating 1488
Form: WWWLL
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.5
Padres
65-55 Rating 1514
Form: LWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Padres
All-time wins 291 265
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.0 3.9
Last meeting 11 18

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Padres
Games played 121 120
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.4
Avg runs conceded 5.1 3.9
Win percentage 45% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 35% 56%