Final Score: Blue Jays 11 - Yankees 12
Saturday, September 22, 2007 at 1:05 PM ET

Blue Jays @ Yankees

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Blue Jays
78-75 Rating 1518
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.8
Yankees
88-65 Rating 1572
Form: WWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Blue Jays Yankees
All-time wins 189 236
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.5 4.9
Last meeting 5 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Blue Jays Yankees
Games played 153 153
Avg runs scored 4.5 5.9
Avg runs conceded 4.2 4.7
Win percentage 51% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 41% 64%