Final Score: Marlins 7 - Mets 4
Friday, September 28, 2007 at 7:10 PM ET

Marlins @ Mets

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
69-90 Rating 1465
Form: LLWWW
Model Probability
38%
62%
Projected margin: New York Mets +0.9
Mets
87-72 Rating 1532
Form: WLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Mets
All-time wins 105 121
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.0 4.8
Last meeting 6 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Mets
Games played 159 159
Avg runs scored 4.9 4.9
Avg runs conceded 5.5 4.6
Win percentage 43% 55%
Away win % / Home win % 42% 51%