Final Score: Mets 2 - Phillies 3
Friday, July 4, 2008 at 7:05 PM ET

Mets @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
42-43 Rating 1515
Form: WLWLW
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.4
Phillies
47-39 Rating 1532
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Phillies
All-time wins 327 336
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.2 4.2
Last meeting 4 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Phillies
Games played 85 86
Avg runs scored 4.8 5.1
Avg runs conceded 4.7 4.1
Win percentage 49% 55%
Away win % / Home win % 44% 55%