Final Score: Padres 6 - Reds 4
Monday, July 21, 2008 at 7:10 PM ET

Padres @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
37-62 Rating 1467
Form: LLLLL
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.3
Reds
48-52 Rating 1475
Form: LLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Reds
All-time wins 249 307
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.0 4.5
Last meeting 12 9

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Reds
Games played 99 100
Avg runs scored 3.7 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.9
Win percentage 37% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 30% 57%