Final Score: Astros 4 - Nationals 9
Monday, May 4, 2009 at 7:05 PM ET

Astros @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
11-14 Rating 1501
Form: WLLWW
Model Probability
56%
44%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.6
Nationals
6-17 Rating 1419
Form: LWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Nationals
All-time wins 232 184
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.3 3.8
Last meeting 5 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Nationals
Games played 25 23
Avg runs scored 3.7 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.2 5.7
Win percentage 44% 26%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 36%