Final Score: Diamondbacks 4 - Marlins 3
Thursday, May 21, 2009 at 7:10 PM ET

Diamondbacks @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Diamondbacks
16-24 Rating 1478
Form: LWWLW
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.3
Marlins
19-22 Rating 1487
Form: WLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Diamondbacks Marlins
All-time wins 46 37
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 5.1 4.7
Last meeting 11 9

Key Season Stats

Stat Diamondbacks Marlins
Games played 40 41
Avg runs scored 4.2 4.7
Avg runs conceded 4.8 5.2
Win percentage 40% 46%
Away win % / Home win % 44% 42%