Final Score: Mets 3 - Nationals 1
Friday, June 5, 2009 at 7:05 PM ET

Mets @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
28-24 Rating 1526
Form: LWLLL
Model Probability
61%
39%
Projected margin: New York Mets +0.9
Nationals
15-38 Rating 1405
Form: LLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Nationals
All-time wins 348 328
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.1 4.0
Last meeting 7 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Nationals
Games played 52 53
Avg runs scored 4.7 4.8
Avg runs conceded 4.4 6.1
Win percentage 54% 28%
Away win % / Home win % 42% 33%