Final Score: Royals 4 - Astros 5
Thursday, June 25, 2009 at 2:05 PM ET

Royals @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Royals
31-39 Rating 1467
Form: LLLWW
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.5
Astros
32-38 Rating 1493
Form: LWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Royals Astros
All-time wins 9 14
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 3.9 5.5
Last meeting 4 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Royals Astros
Games played 70 70
Avg runs scored 4.1 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.6
Win percentage 44% 46%
Away win % / Home win % 39% 44%