Final Score: Yankees 4 - Mets 2
Sunday, June 28, 2009 at 8:05 PM ET

Yankees @ Mets

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Yankees
42-32 Rating 1559
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.2
Mets
37-36 Rating 1517
Form: LWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Yankees Mets
All-time wins 45 31
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 5.1 4.5
Last meeting 5 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Yankees Mets
Games played 74 73
Avg runs scored 5.6 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.6
Win percentage 57% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 54% 58%