Final Score: Phillies 5 - Blue Jays 4
Sunday, June 28, 2009 at 1:07 PM ET

Phillies @ Blue Jays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
38-34 Rating 1541
Form: WLLLW
Model Probability
48%
52%
Projected margin: Toronto Blue Jays +0.1
Blue Jays
41-35 Rating 1529
Form: WWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Blue Jays
All-time wins 15 20
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.9 5.5
Last meeting 10 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Blue Jays
Games played 72 76
Avg runs scored 5.3 5.1
Avg runs conceded 5.0 4.5
Win percentage 53% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 68% 62%