Final Score: Cardinals 2 - Cubs 5
Saturday, July 11, 2009 at 4:10 PM ET

Cardinals @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cardinals
48-40 Rating 1511
Form: WWLWW
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.2
Cubs
41-42 Rating 1511
Form: WWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cardinals Cubs
All-time wins 334 332
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.4 4.2
Last meeting 8 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Cardinals Cubs
Games played 88 83
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.1 4.1
Win percentage 55% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 55% 60%