Final Score: Padres 4 - Reds 6
Monday, July 27, 2009 at 7:10 PM ET

Padres @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
38-61 Rating 1430
Form: LLWLL
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.5
Reds
44-53 Rating 1461
Form: LLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Reds
All-time wins 253 309
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.0 4.5
Last meeting 3 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Reds
Games played 99 97
Avg runs scored 3.6 4.0
Avg runs conceded 5.1 4.8
Win percentage 38% 45%
Away win % / Home win % 29% 50%