Final Score: Marlins 3 - Phillies 2
Friday, August 7, 2009 at 7:35 PM ET

Marlins @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
55-53 Rating 1498
Form: LWLLL
Model Probability
39%
61%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.8
Phillies
61-45 Rating 1554
Form: LLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Phillies
All-time wins 119 139
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.7 5.3
Last meeting 0 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Phillies
Games played 108 106
Avg runs scored 4.6 5.3
Avg runs conceded 4.7 4.6
Win percentage 51% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 49% 53%