Final Score: Phillies 4 - Braves 6
Saturday, September 19, 2009 at 7:00 PM ET

Phillies @ Braves

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
86-60 Rating 1559
Form: WWWWW
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.3
Braves
78-69 Rating 1505
Form: WWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Braves
All-time wins 262 290
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.4 4.7
Last meeting 9 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Braves
Games played 146 147
Avg runs scored 5.1 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.0
Win percentage 59% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 61% 53%