Final Score: Astros 2 - Padres 3
Sunday, July 4, 2010 at 4:05 PM ET

Astros @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
32-50 Rating 1458
Form: LWWLL
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.7
Padres
48-33 Rating 1500
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Padres
All-time wins 304 274
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.0 3.9
Last meeting 0 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Padres
Games played 82 81
Avg runs scored 3.5 4.1
Avg runs conceded 5.0 3.3
Win percentage 39% 59%
Away win % / Home win % 38% 58%