Final Score: Phillies 4 - Nationals 7
Tuesday, April 12, 2011 at 7:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
7-2 Rating 1569
Form: WWLWW
Model Probability
62%
38%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.0
Nationals
4-5 Rating 1434
Form: LWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Nationals
All-time wins 377 333
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.4 4.2
Last meeting 7 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Nationals
Games played 9 9
Avg runs scored 6.6 4.0
Avg runs conceded 3.7 4.7
Win percentage 78% 44%
Away win % / Home win % 67% 33%