Final Score: Padres 3 - Astros 5
Saturday, April 16, 2011 at 7:05 PM ET

Padres @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
6-7 Rating 1499
Form: LLWLW
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.1
Astros
4-10 Rating 1469
Form: LWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Astros
All-time wins 276 305
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 3.8 4.0
Last meeting 4 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Astros
Games played 13 14
Avg runs scored 3.3 4.1
Avg runs conceded 3.3 5.4
Win percentage 46% 29%
Away win % / Home win % 60% 38%