Final Score: Mets 3 - Nationals 4
Thursday, April 28, 2011 at 7:05 PM ET

Mets @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
11-13 Rating 1475
Form: WWWWW
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: New York Mets +0.2
Nationals
10-13 Rating 1433
Form: LWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Nationals
All-time wins 365 346
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.1 4.0
Last meeting 6 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Nationals
Games played 24 23
Avg runs scored 4.6 3.9
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.5
Win percentage 46% 43%
Away win % / Home win % 55% 45%