Final Score: Marlins 3 - Reds 4
Saturday, April 30, 2011 at 7:10 PM ET

Marlins @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
16-8 Rating 1510
Form: WWWLW
Model Probability
48%
52%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.1
Reds
13-13 Rating 1498
Form: LWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Reds
All-time wins 64 85
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.5 5.1
Last meeting 7 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Reds
Games played 24 26
Avg runs scored 4.4 5.3
Avg runs conceded 3.7 4.5
Win percentage 67% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 67% 50%