Final Score: Diamondbacks 3 - Padres 4
Friday, May 6, 2011 at 10:05 PM ET

Diamondbacks @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Diamondbacks
14-16 Rating 1451
Form: LWWLW
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.6
Padres
12-19 Rating 1487
Form: WWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Diamondbacks Padres
All-time wins 121 103
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.6 4.4
Last meeting 5 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Diamondbacks Padres
Games played 30 31
Avg runs scored 4.7 3.1
Avg runs conceded 5.1 3.6
Win percentage 47% 39%
Away win % / Home win % 36% 28%